Friday, March 7, 2008

Temper?

Does McCain have a temper?

March 7: Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress Lawrence Korb talks about Sen. John McCains temperament. Does his temper betray an inability to handle being president?

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/23527978#23527978

Thursday, March 6, 2008

Holy smokes batman another artist.

Look what I found in my mail.



WTF, is that all that's needed to keep my Aunt under control is a video camera.
Amos printer/artist.
Gloria pottery/artist.
Next up Alvin philosopher/artist.



Just joking good luck with the studio.

Funny , haha and funny,not so haha.

Here are 2 quick articles that are funny each in it's own way.
The first is from The Slate written by Jeff Greenfield,

http://www.slate.com/id/2185720/

and here is the second.

http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/03/was_it_rush.html

Which is funny haha and which is funny not so haha?

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

The Real Math

Here is the real concern for everyone. The electoral map.Hillary gained only 4 delegates so unless Obama is found in bed with a live boy or a dead girl the deal is sealed.This election comes down to 8 states.Here is the Rasmussen Reports electoral list.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently projects 157 Electoral Votes as “Safely Democratic,” 95 Electoral Votes as “Likely Democratic” and 32 Electoral Votes as “Leans Democratic.”

On the other side of the aisle, 157 Electoral Votes are projected as “Safely Republican,” 32 are projected as “Likely Republican” and 40 are projected as “Leans Republican".

Safely Democratic: California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), New York (31), Rhode Island (4), and Vermont (3).

Likely Democratic: Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (15), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Washington(11) and Wisconsin (10).

Leans Democratic: Iowa (7), New Mexico (5), and Ohio (20).

Toss-Up: Colorado (9), Missouri (11), and Nevada (5).

Leans Republican: Florida (27), Virginia (13).

Likely Republican: Arkansas (6), North Carolina (15), and Tennessee (11).

Safely Republican: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Texas (34), Utah (5), West Virginia (5) and Wyoming (3).

This is where the '08 is going to be won. Iowa,New Mexico,Ohio,Colorado,Missouri,Nevada,Florida,Virginia.

Scratch out Florida because McCain will probably choose the Gov. Crist for his running mate.Also scratch off Virginia because Obama has proven he will win there.That leaves six states.This is where it will happen. Stay tuned.


The argument of who gets the super delegates is one that just doesn't wash. The view that Hillary wins some swing states so she should get the super delegates vote is not very smart, my reasoning for that statement is these are democrats running against each other, why would all the people that voted for Hillary not vote for Obama in the general election is just not rational. It seems to me that that strategy is almost grasping for straws trying to find away for Hillary to wrestle the nomination from Obama.

Arlander Sr.

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Emotion what emotion................

Just when you thought Obama supporters were all talk and no action here comes Derrick.



The boy rocks, hopefully HRC supporters will realize it's more than just words. Right Sharon.

Friday, February 22, 2008

Richardson for VP?

Two minorities on the same ticket?
Doesn't sound like conventional wisdom ....
But what has been this year?

While bold ... it is a forward position.

It immediately addresses the "experience" question, especially when it comes to international diplomacy issues. Richardson has always opposed the Iraq war. So he's a natural. There aren't many other choices to carry the Ain't Bush/McCain on this point.

The fun part is ... it puts the Hispanic vote in play.

Watch the Dean ....

The DNC is playing by Dean's playbook.
Dean doesn't just want the presidency ...
He wants it all!
I mean ALL!
Not just the Senate and House ...
He wants the state houses and congresses too!

Watch and listen closely

Monday, February 18, 2008

Polls are often wrong....

Just a quick post of an article I read tonight. This one is about the misleading poll numbers in Texas. This pretty sizes up how poll numbers can be skewed in any direction. Here is the article from "The Stump'.

About Those Latest Polls...

One thing to keep in mind as you peruse those latest Wisconsin and (especially) Ohio and Texas polls is that African American support for Obama continues to be implausibly low. We've seen similar numbers leading up to primaries in South Carolina, Georgia, Maryland, and Missouri--all places where Obama attracted in the neighborhood of 80 percent of the black vote (and often closer to 90) on Election Day.

This is a big deal, since Ohio and Texas have significant African American populations--14 and 21 percent of the 2004 Democratic primary electorate, respectively. The difference between a merely strong showing among African Americans and an overwhelming one can be several points overall. For example, consider this recent Quinnipiac poll in Ohio showing Obama up 64-17 among African Americans. If, as seems plausible, the final number ends up closer to 85-15, where it was in nearby Missouri, and the black share of the primary electorate ticks up a few points relative to 2004 (as it consistently has), we could be talking about an overall difference of three or four points. The effect would be closer to four-to-five points in Texas, where this recent poll has Obama's lead among African Americans at 65-16. Those are pretty significant differences.

Why do polls seem to consistently understate Obama's African American support? I can think of a number of plausible explanations--for example, maybe certain black voters are undecided until the sheer energy of Election Day (or the actual prospect of voting for a viable black candidate) hits them in the face. But there's also compelling evidence for a reverse Bradley effect--i.e., that a significant number of black voters are, for whatever reason, just misleading pollsters.

--Noam Scheiber

Pretty interesting let's see what's happens in Wisconsin first.

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Why Alvin sr. is correct and other quiet things..........

Alright it is smoke blowing time. Alvin Sr. may have been right about Howard Dean. It seems as though several blogs are saying that Dean is trying to make the Texas,Ohio and Pennsylvania primaries the whole ball of wax. Supposedly the loser of the aggregate popular vote would leave the race. I don't know if this would be case but Alvin Sr. spoke of this same scenario weeks ago.

Quietly Colin Powell is hinting that he might support Obama. The GOP didn't keep there side of the bargain the last 8 years with Powell. I think he sees what his candidacy should have been in Obama. Here is the clip.

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

I have a few thoughts.................

1. Where did Sen.Clinton get $5 million from? And how much do the Clinton's have if she can throw that much into the hat? What was it a bake sale or did Bill get a job with Vernon?
2. California. This is a potential problem. If Obama gets the nomination and can't carry California cancel Christmas.The early voting carried Sen. Clinton to the win.The hispanic and lower income voters are the issue. Obama's speech last night started to address that problem.
3.McCain is not a comedian. Take a look.

and this gem

Whoa almost forgot this one from the jokester

But just in case we forgot , this is the reason for the primary season.

4.What is CNN doing? After some thought, this has upset me enough for a seperate post.
851 to 846 is the delegate count and Louisiana is next.

Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Delegates, Delegates and Super Delegates

The vote tonight is going to be pretty much a 50-50 split. Here is the rub. Like a heavyweight champion this was Hillary's time to knock out Obama but it was more of a glancing blow. The problem for Clinton in the coming weeks is that her best states are now behind her and she is behind in the money count.
Feb 9 is Louisiana's turn.
Feb 12 Virginia ,DC , Maryland
March 4 Texas and Ohio
April 22 Pennsylvania
May 6 North Carolina.
All of these states are either now being called toss up states or squarely for Obama.So the nomination comes down to Virginia,Texas,Ohio, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

And if that doesn't solve the issue. We have World War III over Michigan and Florida.
So stay tuned

Arlander Jr

And the answer is?




How many times .. must these questions be asked?
How many times must we chose among the lesser of the worst?

Please ... VOTE!

Huckabee for VP!

Looks like Huckabee has decided he wont mind being VP for McCain. He can attempt to placate the mindless Rushies. But how tired are people of the derisive politics of the current and immediate past?

BTW ... the young conservatives, which McCain was a part of, are claiming to be the masterminds of the Huckabee early defeat of Mitt in W VA.



Time will tell ...

Monday, February 4, 2008

Another Hillary teary eyed moment just in time for Tues.

The day before a primary must means either Bill blows up or as Emmit Smith says "blowed up" or Hillary tears up. So here is the clip from MSNBC

I wonder if it will work again?

Different flavors of Kool-Aid

This is a blog for all the flavors of the Kool Aid constellation. Tropical Punch,Lemonade,Grape , even flavorless GOP vanilla. Now to the Kool Aid that I drank. Yahoo has posted several editorials in the past week about the '08 election concerning creating a new democratic majority. The newest is at this link http://news.yahoo.com/s/huffpost/20080202/cm_huffpost/084579
This one is from the Huffington post blog. Interesting stuff. Also the HRC spin patrol is in full effect, James Carville was trying to say that California will be just like New Hampshire. That the surge in the polls for Obama was not reliable. Stay Tuned for Tuesday.

Arlander Jr.
The new Obama video "Yes We Can" Obama Song by will.i.am is available at youtube.com



Sunday, February 3, 2008

First Post

This is the initial post for BlogginKennedyStyle. After a lot of conversations, phone calls , emails and text messages we are finally bloggin. So let's get rockin.