Wednesday, March 5, 2008

The Real Math

Here is the real concern for everyone. The electoral map.Hillary gained only 4 delegates so unless Obama is found in bed with a live boy or a dead girl the deal is sealed.This election comes down to 8 states.Here is the Rasmussen Reports electoral list.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently projects 157 Electoral Votes as “Safely Democratic,” 95 Electoral Votes as “Likely Democratic” and 32 Electoral Votes as “Leans Democratic.”

On the other side of the aisle, 157 Electoral Votes are projected as “Safely Republican,” 32 are projected as “Likely Republican” and 40 are projected as “Leans Republican".

Safely Democratic: California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), New York (31), Rhode Island (4), and Vermont (3).

Likely Democratic: Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (15), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Washington(11) and Wisconsin (10).

Leans Democratic: Iowa (7), New Mexico (5), and Ohio (20).

Toss-Up: Colorado (9), Missouri (11), and Nevada (5).

Leans Republican: Florida (27), Virginia (13).

Likely Republican: Arkansas (6), North Carolina (15), and Tennessee (11).

Safely Republican: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Texas (34), Utah (5), West Virginia (5) and Wyoming (3).

This is where the '08 is going to be won. Iowa,New Mexico,Ohio,Colorado,Missouri,Nevada,Florida,Virginia.

Scratch out Florida because McCain will probably choose the Gov. Crist for his running mate.Also scratch off Virginia because Obama has proven he will win there.That leaves six states.This is where it will happen. Stay tuned.


No comments: